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基于全價(jià)值和全成本模型的農(nóng)業(yè)水價(jià)方案及其可行性分析
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國(guó)家自然科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目(52179007)和黑龍江省自然科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目(LH2022E009)


Agricultural Water Pricing Programs and Feasibility Analysis Based on Full-value and Full-cost Model
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    摘要:

    針對(duì)現(xiàn)行農(nóng)業(yè)水價(jià)標(biāo)準(zhǔn)過低的問題,,選取糧食主產(chǎn)區(qū)——黑龍江省為研究區(qū)域,,從農(nóng)業(yè)用水全價(jià)值和全成本出發(fā),,利用能值理論分析確定農(nóng)業(yè)用水價(jià)值,,采用全成本水價(jià)法確定用水成本,,結(jié)合現(xiàn)行水價(jià)制定不同情境下農(nóng)業(yè)水資源定價(jià)方案,;運(yùn)用雙對(duì)數(shù)模型建立農(nóng)業(yè)用水需求價(jià)格函數(shù),揭示水價(jià)提升帶來的研究區(qū)域節(jié)水潛力,,結(jié)合指數(shù)分析法確定農(nóng)戶可承受能力,,從而判斷所制定水價(jià)方案的可行性。結(jié)果表明:2020年,,農(nóng)業(yè)水資源全價(jià)值為0.594元/m3,,地表水與地下水全成本分別為0.180元/m3和0.355元/m3;針對(duì)設(shè)計(jì)的3種階梯水價(jià)調(diào)整方案,,利用2005,、2010、2015,、2020年進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析,,過渡期和長(zhǎng)期水價(jià)方案平均年節(jié)水量分別可達(dá)2.72×109、4.45×109m3,,平均年節(jié)水潛力分別為12.74%,、19.48%,且一階水價(jià)均在農(nóng)戶可承受能力范圍,,確定為可行方案,。本文為研究區(qū)農(nóng)業(yè)水價(jià)綜合改革提供了支持,可結(jié)合實(shí)際情況逐步提高農(nóng)業(yè)水價(jià)到合理水平,。

    Abstract:

    Aiming at the problem of low agricultural water price, Heilongjiang Province, the main grain producing area, was selected as the study area. Starting from the full-value and full-cost of agricultural water, the value of agricultural water use was analyzed by using the emergy theory, the cost of water use was determined by using the full-cost water pricing method, and the pricing of agricultural water resources was formulated in different situations by combining with the current price of water. A double logarithmic model was used to establish the price function of agricultural water demand, reveal the potential for water saving in the study area brought about by the increase in water price, and determine the affordability of farmers by combining with the index analysis method, so as to judge the feasibility of the water pricing scheme formulated. The results showed that in 2020, the full-value of agricultural water resources was 0.594 yuan/m3, and the full-costs of surface water and groundwater were 0.180 yuan/m3 and 0.355 yuan/m3, respectively; for the three designed ladder water price adjustment schemes, empirical analyses were carried out by using the years of 2005, 2010, 2015, and 2020, and in the case of the transition period and the long-term water price scheme, the average annual water savings respectively can be up to 2.72×109m3 and 4.45×109m3, the average annual water saving potential was 12.74% and 19.48%, and the first-order water price was in the range of the affordability of farmers, which was determined as a feasible program. The research result can provide support for the comprehensive reform of agricultural water price in the study area, which can be combined with the actual situation to gradually increase the agricultural water price to a reasonable level.

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成琨,王子欣,孫楠.基于全價(jià)值和全成本模型的農(nóng)業(yè)水價(jià)方案及其可行性分析[J].農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械學(xué)報(bào),2024,55(5):356-367. CHENG Kun, WANG Zixin, SUN Nan. Agricultural Water Pricing Programs and Feasibility Analysis Based on Full-value and Full-cost Model[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2024,55(5):356-367.

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  • 收稿日期:2023-09-27
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  • 在線發(fā)布日期: 2023-11-05
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