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基于遙感多參數(shù)和IPSO-WNN的冬小麥單產(chǎn)估測(cè)
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Yield Estimation of Winter Wheat Based on Remotely Sensed Multi-parameters and IPSO-WNN
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    摘要:

    冬小麥?zhǔn)俏覈?guó)的主要糧食作物之一,。為進(jìn)一步準(zhǔn)確地估測(cè)冬小麥產(chǎn)量,,以陜西省關(guān)中平原為研究區(qū)域,選取冬小麥主要生育期與水分脅迫和光合作用等密切相關(guān)的條件植被溫度指數(shù)(VTCI),、葉面積指數(shù)(LAI)和光合有效輻射吸收比率(FPAR)作為遙感特征參數(shù),,采用改進(jìn)的粒子群算法優(yōu)化小波神經(jīng)網(wǎng)絡(luò)(IPSO-WNN)以改善梯度下降方法易陷入局部最優(yōu)的缺陷,,并構(gòu)建冬小麥產(chǎn)量估測(cè)模型。結(jié)果表明,,IPSO-WNN模型的決定系數(shù)R2為0.66,,平均絕對(duì)百分比誤差(MAPE)為7.59%,相比于BPNN(R2=0.46,,MAPE為11.80%)與WNN(R2=0.52,,MAPE為9.80%),IPSO-WNN能夠進(jìn)一步提高模型的精度,、增強(qiáng)模型的魯棒性,。采用靈敏度分析的方法探究對(duì)冬小麥產(chǎn)量影響較大的輸入?yún)?shù),結(jié)果發(fā)現(xiàn),,抽穗-灌漿期的FPAR對(duì)冬小麥產(chǎn)量影響最大,,其次拔節(jié)期的VTCI、抽穗-灌漿期和乳熟期的LAI以及返青期和拔節(jié)期的FPAR對(duì)冬小麥產(chǎn)量的影響較大,。通過(guò)IPSO-WNN輸出獲取冬小麥綜合監(jiān)測(cè)指數(shù)I,,構(gòu)建I與統(tǒng)計(jì)單產(chǎn)之間的估產(chǎn)模型以估測(cè)關(guān)中平原冬小麥單產(chǎn),結(jié)果顯示,,估測(cè)單產(chǎn)與統(tǒng)計(jì)單產(chǎn)之間的R2為0.63,,均方根誤差(RMSE)為505.50kg/hm2,相比于前人的研究較好地解決了估產(chǎn)模型存在的“低產(chǎn)高估”的問(wèn)題,,因此,,本文基于IPSO-WNN構(gòu)建的估產(chǎn)模型能夠較準(zhǔn)確地估測(cè)關(guān)中平原冬小麥產(chǎn)量。

    Abstract:

    Wheat is one of the major food crops in China. To further estimate the yield of winter wheat accurately, Guanzhong Plain in Shaanxi Province was used as the study area, vegetation temperature condition index (VTCI), leaf area index (LAI) and fraction of photosynthetically active radiation (FPAR), which were closely related to water stress and photosynthesis at the main growth stage were selected as remotely sensed characteristic parameters, and the improved particle swarm optimized wavelet neural network (IPSO-WNN) was used to improve the shortcomings of gradient descent method which tended to fall into local optimum and construct winter wheat yield estimation model. The results showed that the IPSO-WNN model had a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.66 and a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 7.59%. Compared with the BPNN (R2=0.46, MAPE was 11.80%) and WNN (R2=0.52, MAPE was 9.80%), the IPSO-WNN can further improve the accuracy of the yield estimation and enhance the robustness of the model. It was explored by sensitivity analysis that the input parameters had a strong influence on winter wheat yield, and it was found that FPAR at the heading-filling stage had the greatest effect on winter wheat yield, followed by VTCI at the jointing stage, LAI at the heading-filling and milk maturity stages and FPAR at the green-up and jointing stages. The I index of winter wheat was obtained from IPSO-WNN output, and a yield estimation model between I and statistical yield was constructed to estimate the yield of winter wheat in the Guanzhong Plain. The results showed that the R2 between estimated yield and statistical yield was 0.63 and root mean square error (RMSE) was 505.50kg/hm2, and the problem of “l(fā)ow yield and high estimation” of the yield estimation model was solved. Therefore, the yield estimation model constructed based on IPSO-WNN can estimate the yield of winter wheat in the Guanzhong Plain more accurately.

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王鵬新,李明啟,張悅,劉峻明,朱健,張樹譽(yù).基于遙感多參數(shù)和IPSO-WNN的冬小麥單產(chǎn)估測(cè)[J].農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械學(xué)報(bào),2024,55(1):154-163. WANG Pengxin, LI Mingqi, ZHANG Yue, LIU Junming, ZHU Jian, ZHANG Shuyu. Yield Estimation of Winter Wheat Based on Remotely Sensed Multi-parameters and IPSO-WNN[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2024,55(1):154-163.

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  • 收稿日期:2023-05-05
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  • 在線發(fā)布日期: 2023-05-26
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