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基于2型模糊集的多目標(biāo)農(nóng)業(yè)-生態(tài)水土資源優(yōu)化配置
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國家自然科學(xué)基金項目(41871199)


Multi-objective Modelling for Optimal Allocation of Agricultural-Ecological Water and Land Resources Based on Type-2 Fuzzy Sets
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    摘要:

    針對西北干旱區(qū)灌區(qū)生態(tài)環(huán)境脆弱,、水資源短缺,、復(fù)雜不確定性等問題,以石羊河流域紅崖山灌區(qū)為例,,耦合2型模糊集,、模糊可信度約束規(guī)劃和多目標(biāo)規(guī)劃等理論方法,構(gòu)建了基于2型模糊集的多目標(biāo)農(nóng)業(yè)-生態(tài)水土資源優(yōu)化配置模型,。模型以灌溉水損失最小,、生態(tài)植被灌溉水滿意度最大、生態(tài)植被灌溉水費用最小和主要糧食作物經(jīng)濟(jì)效益最大為目標(biāo),,對紅崖山灌區(qū)10個決策單元的地表水,、地下水和糧食作物種植面積進(jìn)行優(yōu)化配置。求解模型得到不同可信度水平和不確定性程度下的水土資源優(yōu)化配置方案,。結(jié)果表明:耦合2型模糊集的模型能夠提供豐富的配置方案,,水量對可信度水平的敏感性高于不確定性程度,,作物種植結(jié)構(gòu)對可信度水平不敏感。以不確定性程度參數(shù)為0.5,、可信度水平為0.7時為例,,生態(tài)植被均通過地表水灌溉,作物通過地表水,、地下水聯(lián)合灌溉,,玉米的產(chǎn)量和經(jīng)濟(jì)效益均大于小麥。相比前人研究,,本研究考慮生態(tài)植被灌溉需求,,優(yōu)化結(jié)果更加真實合理。本研究可為決策者提供較為符合灌區(qū)實際的配置方案,,為西北干旱區(qū)灌區(qū)現(xiàn)代化建設(shè)提供科學(xué)指導(dǎo),。

    Abstract:

    To handle eco-environment vulnerability, water shortage and complex uncertainties in irrigation districts in arid areas of Northwest China, taking Hongyashan Irrigation District in Shiyang River Basin as an example, a type-2 fuzzy multi-objective programming model for optimization of agricultural-ecological water and land resources allocation was developed. The developed model integrated type-2 fuzzy sets, fuzzy credibility-constrained programming, and multi-objective programming, with the objectives of minimum irrigation loss, maximum ecological vegetation irrigation satisfaction, minimum ecological vegetation irrigation cost and maximum economic benefit of main grain crops. The decision variables were surface water, groundwater and planting structure among 10 decision-making units in Hongyashan Irrigation District. The optimal allocation schemes of irrigation water and planting structure under different credibility levels and uncertainty degrees were obtained by solving the model. Optimal results showed that the model coupled with type-2 fuzzy sets can provide abundant allocation schemes. The sensitivity of allocated water to credibility levels was higher than uncertainty degrees, and the planting structure was not sensitive to credibility levels. When the uncertainty degree was 0.5 and the credibility level was 0.7, the ecological vegetation was totally irrigated by surface water, crops were irrigated by surface water and groundwater, and the yield and economic benefit of maize are higher than that of wheat.Compared with previous studies, the research more considered the irrigation requirement of ecological vegetation, and the optimization results were more realistic and reasonable. The research results can provide decisionmakers with allocation schemes which were in line with the actual situation of irrigation districts and provide scientific guidance for the modernization of irrigation districts in arid areas of Northwest China.

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郭萍,潘琦,岳瓊,王奕誠,張洪航.基于2型模糊集的多目標(biāo)農(nóng)業(yè)-生態(tài)水土資源優(yōu)化配置[J].農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械學(xué)報,2022,53(12):353-365. GUO Ping, PAN Qi, YUE Qiong, WANG Yicheng, ZHANG Honghang. Multi-objective Modelling for Optimal Allocation of Agricultural-Ecological Water and Land Resources Based on Type-2 Fuzzy Sets[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2022,53(12):353-365.

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  • 收稿日期:2022-01-18
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  • 在線發(fā)布日期: 2022-04-30
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