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基于SSA-LSTM的玉米土壤含氧量預(yù)測(cè)模型
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海南省自然科學(xué)基金面上項(xiàng)目(322MS118)和海南省自然科學(xué)基金青年基金項(xiàng)目(322QN375)


SSA-LSTM-based Model for Predicting Soil Oxygen Content in Maize
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    摘要:

    土壤含氧量(Soil oxygen content,,SOC)是影響作物生長(zhǎng)的重要土壤環(huán)境因素之一,,具有時(shí)序性、不穩(wěn)定性和非線(xiàn)性等特點(diǎn),,精確預(yù)測(cè)土壤環(huán)境中含氧量的變化趨勢(shì),,有助于制定更加合理的土壤通氣增氧方案。本研究提出基于麻雀搜索算法(Sparrow search algorithm,,SSA)和長(zhǎng)短時(shí)記憶(Long and short-term memory,,LSTM)神經(jīng)網(wǎng)絡(luò)預(yù)測(cè)模型,利用國(guó)家土壤質(zhì)量湛江觀測(cè)實(shí)驗(yàn)站記錄玉米種植期間的氣象環(huán)境和土壤環(huán)境數(shù)據(jù),,基于SSA-LSTM模型對(duì)SOC變化進(jìn)行預(yù)測(cè)及相關(guān)性分析,,并與傳統(tǒng)的BP預(yù)測(cè)模型、LSTM預(yù)測(cè)模型,、GA-LSTM預(yù)測(cè)模型及PSO-LSTM預(yù)測(cè)模型進(jìn)行對(duì)比,。試驗(yàn)結(jié)果表明,SOC與降雨量,、土壤含水率、土壤溫度,、土壤充氣孔隙度相關(guān)性極顯著,,相關(guān)系數(shù)高于0.8,與大氣溫度和風(fēng)速相關(guān)性顯著,,與大氣濕度和土壤呼吸速率相關(guān)性較弱,。SSA-LSTM模型預(yù)測(cè)精度明顯高于其他4組對(duì)照預(yù)測(cè)模型,R2達(dá)到0.95979,,RMSE僅為0.4917%,,MAPE為3.7331%,MAE為 0.3620%,,預(yù)測(cè)值與試驗(yàn)值之間的擬合程度高,。本研究可為土壤含氧量變化的精準(zhǔn)預(yù)測(cè)及土壤通氣增氧技術(shù)的應(yīng)用推廣提供理論支撐與科學(xué)依據(jù)。

    Abstract:

    Soil oxygen content (SOC) is one of the important soil environmental factors that affect crop growth. It has the characteristics of time series, instability and nonlinearity. It can accurately predict the change trend of oxygen content in the soil environment, which is helpful to formulate a more reasonable soil aeration and oxygenation program. A prediction model based on the sparrow search algorithm (SSA) and long and short-term memory (LSTM) neural network was proposed, the meteorological environment and soil environment record data during the corn planting period were to recorded by using the equipment at the National Soil Quality Zhanjiang Observation and Experimental Station. The SSA-LSTM model predicted and analyzed the SOC changes, and it was compared with the traditional BP prediction model, LSTM prediction model, GA-LSTM prediction model and PSO-LSTM prediction model. The test results showed that the correlation between SOC and rainfall, soil water content, soil temperature and air-filled porosity was extremely significant, the correlation coefficient was higher than 0.8, the correlation with atmospheric temperature and wind speed was significant, and the correlation with atmospheric humidity and soil respiration rate was relatively significant. The prediction accuracy of the SSA-LSTM model was significantly higher than that of the other four groups of control prediction models. The R2 reached 0.95979, the RMSE was only 0.4917%, the MAPE was 3.7331%, and the MAE was 0.3620%. The degree of fit between the predicted value and the experimental value was high. The research result can provide theoretical support and scientific basis for the accurate prediction of soil oxygen content changes and the application and promotion of soil aeration and oxygenation technology.

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于珍珍,鄒華芬,于德水,汪春,劉天祥,張欣悅.基于SSA-LSTM的玉米土壤含氧量預(yù)測(cè)模型[J].農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械學(xué)報(bào),2022,53(11):360-368,,411. YU Zhenzhen, ZOU Huafen, YU Deshui, WANG Chun, LIU Tianxiang, ZHANG Xinyue. SSA-LSTM-based Model for Predicting Soil Oxygen Content in Maize[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2022,53(11):360-368,,411.

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  • 收稿日期:2021-11-28
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  • 在線(xiàn)發(fā)布日期: 2022-11-10
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