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華北地區(qū)光肩星天??臻g分異性及驅(qū)動(dòng)因素研究
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國家自然科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目(31870534)和國家重點(diǎn)研發(fā)計(jì)劃項(xiàng)目(2019YFA0606600)


Spatial Stratified Heterogeneity and Driving Force of Anoplophora glabripennis in North China
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    摘要:

    光肩星天牛作為林木的主要害蟲,在我國分布極為廣泛,,且分布區(qū)呈不斷擴(kuò)大的趨勢(shì),。在地理空間尺度上,研究蟲災(zāi)的空間相關(guān)性,,并分析影響其分布的因素對(duì)于防控光肩星天牛災(zāi)害有重要意義。以2008年我國華北地區(qū)光肩星天牛蟲災(zāi)發(fā)生情況為研究對(duì)象,,收集氣象因子,、社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)因子以及植被因子,借助于地理探測(cè)器分析環(huán)境因素對(duì)光肩星天牛災(zāi)害發(fā)生的影響,。結(jié)果表明,,光肩星天牛受害嚴(yán)重的地區(qū)集中在山西省北部,河南省,、山東省及河北省南部地區(qū)發(fā)病率較低,。影響光肩星天牛發(fā)病率空間分布的主要?dú)庀笠蛩貫榻邓蜌鉁兀饕鐣?huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)因素為人口數(shù)和地區(qū)GDP,。氣溫和第一,、二產(chǎn)業(yè)值的作用力較其他因子有顯著差異,。經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平高對(duì)當(dāng)?shù)夭∠x害防治有明顯的積極作用。交互作用探測(cè)顯示,,任何兩種變量結(jié)合作用都能更有效地解釋光肩星天牛災(zāi)害的空間分異性,。降雨量和防治率交互作用后對(duì)發(fā)病率的解釋力提升最為顯著。

    Abstract:

    Anoplophora glabripennis is widely distributed in China as the main pest of forest trees, and the distribution area is constantly expanding. It is important to study the spatial correlation of insect infestation and analyze the factors that affect its distribution. Using geodetector, the effects of environmental factors on the Anoplophora glabripennis disaster were analyzed. The results showed that the most seriously damaged areas were in the northern part of Shanxi Province, while the incidence rates in Henan, Shandong, and southern Hebei were relatively low. The main meteorological factors affecting the spatial distribution of the incidence rate were precipitation and temperature, and the main social and economic factors were population and regional GDP. The effect of temperature on the value of the first and second industries was significantly different from that of other factors. Economic development had significant positive effect on the control of local insect pests. The interaction detection showed that the combination of any two variables can explain the spatial heterogeneity of Anoplophora glabripennis disaster more effectively. The interpretation ability of incidence rate was increased significantly after interaction between precipitation and control rate.

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劉德慶,張?zhí)戽?張曉麗,宗世祥,黃季夏.華北地區(qū)光肩星天??臻g分異性及驅(qū)動(dòng)因素研究[J].農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械學(xué)報(bào),2022,53(1):215-223,,369. LIU Deqing, ZHANG Tianyuan, ZHANG Xiaoli, ZONG Shixiang, HUANG Jixia. Spatial Stratified Heterogeneity and Driving Force of Anoplophora glabripennis in North China[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2022,53(1):215-223,369.

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  • 收稿日期:2021-08-23
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  • 在線發(fā)布日期: 2022-01-10
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