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基于BSO-SVR的香蕉遙感時序估產模型研究
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廣西創(chuàng)新驅動發(fā)展專項資金項目(桂科AA18118037-3),、國家自然科學基金項目(41801245)和中央高?;究蒲袠I(yè)務費專項資金項目(2021AC026)


BSO-SVR-based Remote Sensing Time-series Yield Estimation Model for Banana
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    摘要:

    為了提高有限樣本下遙感時序估產效果,本文提出一種基于BSO-SVR的香蕉遙感時序估產模型,。該模型以廣西壯族自治區(qū)扶綏縣的71塊香蕉田塊為研究區(qū),,利用時間序列Sentinel-2遙感影像數(shù)據(jù),結合實測產量數(shù)據(jù),,對2019—2020年香蕉產量進行預測與分析,。融合閾值分割和形態(tài)學開操作方法,濾除香蕉關鍵生育期內遙感影像的厚云和云陰影區(qū)域,;引入頭腦風暴優(yōu)化算法(Brain storming optimization algorithm, BSO) 自動搜尋支持向量回歸算法(Support vector regression,,SVR)的最優(yōu)懲罰因子和核函數(shù)參數(shù),解決SVR模型的參數(shù)優(yōu)化不足導致模型預測精度低的問題,;搭建基于BSO-SVR的時間序列遙感估產模型,,深入挖掘多時相遙感信息,以提升香蕉估產準確度,。結果表明,,相較于網(wǎng)格搜索算法(Grid search,GS)和灰狼優(yōu)化算法(Grey wolf optimizer,,GWO)搜尋SVR模型的最優(yōu)參數(shù),,本文提出的頭腦風暴優(yōu)化算法具有更高的預測精度和更快的預測速度, 在2019年和2020年BSO-SVR模型測試集的決定系數(shù)(Coefficient of determination,,R 2)分別為0.777和0.793,,驗證集R 2分別為0.765和0.636,運行時間分別為0.320,、0.331s,;與傳統(tǒng)的嶺回歸模型(Ridge regression,RR)和偏最小二乘回歸模型(Partial least squares regression,,PLSR)相比,,BSO-SVR模型的預測性能最佳,其次是RR模型,,PLSR模型表現(xiàn)最差,。本文提出的時序估產模型實現(xiàn)了香蕉田塊產量的精準預估。

    Abstract:

    Timely, comprehensive and accurate estimation of banana yield can provide growers with decisions on variable fertilization, irrigation, harvest planning, marketing and forward sales. To improve the accuracy of banana remote sensing yield estimation, totally 71 banana fields in Fusui County, Guangxi were used as the study area, and a remote sensing prediction model for banana yield in 2019—2020 was conducted by using time-series Sentinel-2 remote sensing image data, combined with field measured yield data. The method firstly obtained Sentinel-2 images during the key banana phenological period of 2019—2020, then the threshold segmentation and morphological open operation methods were used to remove cloud and cloud shadow coverage areas, the average normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) values of each plot were extracted, and finally the BSO-SVR model was used to predict and evaluate the banana yield in combination with the actual measured data of banana yield. The results showed that compared with the grid search (GS) and grey wolf optimizer (GWO) algorithms to optimize the penalty factor and kernel function parameters of the SVR model, the brain storming optimization algorithm proposed had higher prediction accuracy and faster prediction speed. The running times of the BSO-SVR model in 2019 and 2020 were 0.320s and 0.331s, respectively, and for the validation set, the R 2 of the BSO-SVR model was 0.777 and 0.793 in 2019 and 2020, respectively; for the test set, the R 2 of the BSO-SVR model was 0.765 and 0.636 in 2019 and 2020, respectively, except that the R 2 of the BSO-SVR model in 2019 is slightly lower than that of the GS-SVR model (R 2=0.797) in 2019, except that the R 2 of the BSO-SVR model was higher than that of the GWO-SVR model and the GS-SVR model, and in addition, the overall performance of the RMSE and MAE of the BSO-SVR model was optimal in 2019—2020 compared with that of the GWO-SVR model and the GS-SVR model, indicating that the prediction results of the BSO-SVR model were closer to the actual values and with higher forecasting accuracy. Compared with the traditional ridge regression (RR) and partial least squares regression (PLSR) models, in 2019, the BSO-SVR model had the highest R 2, followed by the RR model, and the PLSR model was the worst, where the BSO-SVR model had R 2 above 0.75 for both the validation and test sets, which was 0.113 and 0.174 higher than that of the RR model, and 0.192 and 0.184 higher than thta of the PLSR model, respectively. Meanwhile, the BSO-SVR model had the lowest RMSE and MAE compared with the RR model and PLSR model, indicating that the BSO-SVR model had good results in forecasting banana yield in 2019. In 2020, the BSO-SVR model had the best overall performance, with the average R 2 of 0.715 for the validation and test sets, and the R 2 of the validation and test sets were higher than that of the RR model by 0.035 and 0.014, respectively, and better than that of the PLSR model by 0.040 and 0.035, while the RMSE and MAE of the BSO-SVR model also had the best overall performance. The banana time-series yield estimation model proposed achieved accurate yield prediction of banana field plots, which can provide an effective way for field-scale crop yield estimation.

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張海洋,張 瑤,李民贊,李修華,王 俊,田澤眾.基于BSO-SVR的香蕉遙感時序估產模型研究[J].農業(yè)機械學報,2021,52(S0):98-107. ZHANG Haiyang, ZHANG Yao, LI Minzan, LI Xiuhua, WANG Jun, TIAN Zezhong. BSO-SVR-based Remote Sensing Time-series Yield Estimation Model for Banana[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2021,52(S0):98-107.

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  • 收稿日期:2021-07-01
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  • 在線發(fā)布日期: 2021-11-10
  • 出版日期: 2021-12-10
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