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蘋(píng)果貨架期GAN-BP-ANN預(yù)測(cè)模型研究
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陜西省科技重大專項(xiàng)(2020zdzx03-05-01)和財(cái)政部和農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部:國(guó)家現(xiàn)代農(nóng)業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)技術(shù)體系項(xiàng)目


Study on Shelf-life Prediction of Apple with GAN-BP-ANN Model
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    摘要:

    準(zhǔn)確預(yù)測(cè)剩余貨架期是降低蘋(píng)果過(guò)長(zhǎng)貯藏風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的有效途徑,,目前基于傳統(tǒng)動(dòng)力學(xué)模型的預(yù)測(cè)準(zhǔn)確度較低,提出一種基于生成式對(duì)抗網(wǎng)絡(luò)(GAN)改進(jìn)的反向傳播人工神經(jīng)網(wǎng)絡(luò)(BP-ANN)蘋(píng)果貨架期預(yù)測(cè)方法,。以0、5,、15,、25℃下貯藏的“富士”蘋(píng)果為研究對(duì)象,獲取果實(shí)的12個(gè)理化品質(zhì)指標(biāo)隨貯藏時(shí)間變化的取值,;分別采用2種特征選擇方法對(duì)品質(zhì)指標(biāo)進(jìn)行排序,,依次累加排序?yàn)?~12的品質(zhì)指標(biāo)結(jié)合貯藏溫度作為BP-ANN的輸入層變量。通過(guò)GAN擴(kuò)大BP-ANN的訓(xùn)練集樣本數(shù)量,,建立“富士”蘋(píng)果貨架期的 GAN-BP-ANN和BP-ANN預(yù)測(cè)模型,。試驗(yàn)結(jié)果表明,經(jīng)過(guò)GAN可生成與真實(shí)數(shù)據(jù)分布范圍一致的數(shù)據(jù)集,,以真實(shí)和生成數(shù)據(jù)集共同作為訓(xùn)練集構(gòu)建的GAN-BP-ANN模型其驗(yàn)證集準(zhǔn)確度總體高于BP-ANN模型,;以稀疏主成分分析(SPCA) 選取得到的前1、2,、6個(gè)品質(zhì)指標(biāo),,結(jié)合貯藏溫度分別作為GAN-BP-ANN模型的輸入層對(duì)貨架期進(jìn)行預(yù)測(cè),其平均相對(duì)誤差均在0.070以內(nèi),,決定系數(shù)均在0.988以上,。

    Abstract:

    Accurately predict the shelf-life of apple is urgently needed in practice. A feasible and non-equipment-depended data collection and model construction method was explored for shelf-life prediction of apple based on quality attributes observations and storage temperature. ‘Fuji’ apples were stored at four different temperatures of 0℃, 5℃, 15℃ and 25℃, respectively. The firmness, soluble solids content, titratable acid, SSC-TA rate, reducing ascorbic acid, starch content, weight loss and color values (L, a, b, ΔE, C) were measured periodically to obtain data set of 12 quality features at each storage stage and temperature. Feature selection method of SPCA and ReliefF was used to rank the quality attributes, respectively. Generative adversarial networks (GAN)-back propagation artificial neural network (BP-ANN), and BP-ANN were used to construct regression models between quality feature, storage temperature and shelf-life. Ratio of training set to test set was 3∶1. Totally 12 quality attributes were ranked in different orders by different feature selection methods. Using each accumulative combination of 1~12th quality attributes and storage temperature as input variables of GAN-BP-ANN and BP-ANN respectively, error rate of the validation set as evaluation criterion of prediction model. The accuracy of the models constructed by feature selection methods of SPCA were higher than that of ReliefF. The accuracy of the models established by GAN-BP-ANN were generally higher than that of the BP-ANN. It showed that GAN can effectively reduce the overfitting of BP-ANN model. Using three selected feature combinations as input variables, respectively, BP-ANN reached an accuracy above 0.930. GAN added BP-ANN can be a novel approach for accurately predict the shelf-life of postharvest “Fuji” apples by using the selected quality attributes and temperature.

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馬惠玲,曹夢(mèng)柯,王棟,邱凌雨,任小林.蘋(píng)果貨架期GAN-BP-ANN預(yù)測(cè)模型研究[J].農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械學(xué)報(bào),2021,52(11):367-375. MA Huiling, CAO Mengke, WANG Dong, QIU Lingyu, REN Xiaolin. Study on Shelf-life Prediction of Apple with GAN-BP-ANN Model[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2021,52(11):367-375.

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  • 收稿日期:2020-12-13
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  • 在線發(fā)布日期: 2021-11-10
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