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1960年以來河南省玉米氣候生產(chǎn)潛力估算與種植空間優(yōu)化
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國家自然科學(xué)基金項目(41401171)、教育部人文社科規(guī)劃項目(18YJA840003),、河南省科技攻關(guān)計劃(社會發(fā)展類)項目(18212310988),、河南省哲學(xué)社科規(guī)劃項目(2017BSH009)和信陽師范學(xué)院“南湖學(xué)者獎勵計劃”青年項目


Estimation of Climate Production Potential of Corn and Optimization of Planting Space in Henan Province from 1960
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    摘要:

    農(nóng)作物生長直接依賴于降水、光照及溫度等自然要素,對全球氣候變化的影響最為敏感。基于河南省1960—2015年氣候觀測和太陽輻射量數(shù)據(jù),,采用逐步訂正法估算了159個縣級空間單元的玉米氣候生產(chǎn)潛力,并進行河南省玉米種植空間的優(yōu)化,。結(jié)果表明:在全球氣候變化背景下,受氣溫和降水雙因素驅(qū)動,,河南省玉米氣候生產(chǎn)潛力在1960—2015年間呈倒U形的動態(tài)變化,,玉米生產(chǎn)高氣候潛力空間持續(xù)向豫西遷移,弱勢氣候潛力區(qū)自2000年來聚集于河南省北部地區(qū),。61.11%的河南省玉米生產(chǎn)優(yōu)勢氣候潛力區(qū)與玉米優(yōu)勢種植區(qū)現(xiàn)狀重合,,但其他各類型潛力區(qū)與種植區(qū)現(xiàn)狀偏差較大。種植規(guī)模分為適當(dāng)增加,、逐步減少,、保持穩(wěn)定3種類型,提出河南省玉米種植空間優(yōu)化方案和對策建議,。

    Abstract:

    Crop growth directly depends on natural elements such as precipitation, light and temperature, and which is most sensitive to global climate change. Based on the meteorological observations and solar radiation data of Henan Province from 1960 to 2015, the corn climatic production potential of 159 countylevel spatial units was estimated by using the gradual correction method and the planting space of corn was optimized. The results showed that under the background of global climate change, driven by both temperature and precipitation, the climate productivity potential of maize in Henan Province showed an inverted Ushaped dynamic change from 1960 to 2015. The space of high climate potential of maize production continued to migrate to the west of Henan Province, and the disadvantaged climate potential areas were concentrated in the north of Henan Province since 2000. And 61.11% of the advantage cultivation area coincided with the advantage potential area, but there was a big deviation between the other potential areas and the current situation of planting areas. There were three types of corn planting: increasing planting scale appropriately, decreasing planting scale gradually and maintaining stability.

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高軍波,楚冰洋,閆軍輝,趙國永.1960年以來河南省玉米氣候生產(chǎn)潛力估算與種植空間優(yōu)化[J].農(nóng)業(yè)機械學(xué)報,2019,50(1):245-254. GAO Junbo, CHU Bingyang, YAN Junhui, ZHAO Guoyong. Estimation of Climate Production Potential of Corn and Optimization of Planting Space in Henan Province from 1960[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2019,50(1):245-254.

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  • 收稿日期:2018-06-09
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  • 在線發(fā)布日期: 2019-01-10
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