ass日本风韵熟妇pics男人扒开女人屁屁桶到爽|扒开胸露出奶头亲吻视频|邻居少妇的诱惑|人人妻在线播放|日日摸夜夜摸狠狠摸婷婷|制服 丝袜 人妻|激情熟妇中文字幕|看黄色欧美特一级|日本av人妻系列|高潮对白av,丰满岳妇乱熟妇之荡,日本丰满熟妇乱又伦,日韩欧美一区二区三区在线

基于MEA-BPNN的西北旱區(qū)參考作物蒸散量預(yù)報模型
CSTR:
作者:
作者單位:

作者簡介:

通訊作者:

中圖分類號:

基金項目:

國家重點研發(fā)計劃項目(2016YFC0400206),、國家自然科學(xué)基金項目(51779161),、“十二五”國家科技支撐計劃項目(2015BAD24B01)和2017年中央高?;究蒲袠I(yè)務(wù)費專項資金項目(2016CDDY-S04-SCU)


Reference Crop Evapotranspiration Prediction Model of Arid Areas of Northwest China Based on MEA-BPNN
Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 圖/表
  • |
  • 訪問統(tǒng)計
  • |
  • 參考文獻(xiàn)
  • |
  • 相似文獻(xiàn)
  • |
  • 引證文獻(xiàn)
  • |
  • 資源附件
  • |
  • 文章評論
    摘要:

    為有效提高西北旱區(qū)參考作物蒸散量(Reference crop evapotranspiration,ET0)預(yù)報精度,,在西北旱區(qū)選擇5個代表性氣象站點,,構(gòu)建10種基于思維進(jìn)化算法(Mind evolutionary algorithm,MEA)優(yōu)化的誤差反向傳波神經(jīng)網(wǎng)絡(luò)(Back propagation neural network,,BPNN)ET0預(yù)報模型,,并將其與Hargreaves-Samani模型、Irmak模型和48-PM模型等3種在西北旱區(qū)ET0計算精度較高的模型進(jìn)行比較,。結(jié)果表明:在不同輸入的情況下MEA-BPNN模型模擬精度具有相對較高水平,,其中MEA-BPNN1(輸入最高氣溫Tmax、最低氣溫Tmin,、相對濕度RH,、日照時數(shù)n和距地面2m高處的風(fēng)速u2)、MEA-BPNN2(輸入Tmax,、Tmin,、n和u2)及MEA-BPNN3(輸入Tmax,、Tmin,、RH和u2)模型的R2、NSE均大于0.96,,RMSE,、MAE也分別小于0.34、0.25mm/d,,以上3種MEA-BPNN模型的整體評價指標(biāo)(Global performance indicator,,GPI)排名分別為1、2,、3;MEA-BPNN7(輸入Tmax,、Tmin和u2)的R2、NSE分別為0.9662,、0.9622,, RMSE,、MAE分別為0.3610、0.2761mm/d,,模擬精度較高,;MEA-BPNN模型可移植性的分析表明: MEA-BPNN模型在西北旱區(qū)具有較強的泛化能力,基于不同站點數(shù)據(jù)構(gòu)建的預(yù)報模型也有較高精度,;在相同輸入情況下MEA-BPNN模型模擬精度均高于Hargreaves-Samani模型,、Irmak模型和48-PM模型。因此,,在氣象資料缺乏情景下MEA-BPNN模型可作為西北旱區(qū)ET0計算的推薦模型,,可為實時精準(zhǔn)灌溉預(yù)報的實現(xiàn)提供科學(xué)依據(jù)。

    Abstract:

    To effectively improve the prediction accuracy of the reference crop evapotranspiration (ET0) in the arid regions of Northwest China, five representative meteorological sites were selected in the arid Northwest China to construct 10 errors back propagation neural network (BPNN) optimized by mind evolutionary algorithm (MEA) model. This model was used to forecast ET0 and compared with the three models of Hargreaves-Samani model, Irmak model and 48-PM model which had higher accuracy in the northwest arid region. The results showed that the simulation accuracy of the MEA-BPNN model was basically high at different input levels, including MEA-BPNN1 (input Tmax, Tmin, RH, n and u2), MEA-BPNN2 (input Tmax, Tmin, n and u2) and MEA-BPNN3 (input Tmax, Tmin, RHand u2). The determination coefficient R2 and Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient NSE of the models were greater than 0.96, RMSE and MAE was less than 0.34mm/d and 0.25mm/d. The GPI rankings of the above three MEA-BPNN models were 1, 2 and 3, respectively. The R2 and NSE of MEA-BPNN7 (input Tmax, Tmin, and u2) was 0.966 2 and 0.962 2, RMSE and MAE was 0.361 0mm/d and 0.2761mm/d, respectively, and the simulation accuracy was high. The analysis of the portability of the MEA-BPNN model showed that the MEA-BPNN model in the arid northwestern China had strong generalization ability, and the forecasting model constructed based on different site data also had high accuracy. The simulation accuracy of the MEA-BPNN model was higher than that of the Hargreaves-Samani model, Irmak model and 48-PM model with the same input. Therefore, in the absence of meteorological data, the MEA-BPNN model can be used as a recommended model for the calculation of ET0 in the northwest arid regions, which can provide a scientific basis for realtime accurate irrigation forecasting.

    參考文獻(xiàn)
    相似文獻(xiàn)
    引證文獻(xiàn)
引用本文

崔寧博,魏俊,趙璐,張青雯,龔道枝,王明田.基于MEA-BPNN的西北旱區(qū)參考作物蒸散量預(yù)報模型[J].農(nóng)業(yè)機械學(xué)報,2018,49(8):228-236,,307. CUI Ningbo, WEI Jun, ZHAO Lu, ZHANG Qingwen, GONG Daozhi, WANG Mingtian. Reference Crop Evapotranspiration Prediction Model of Arid Areas of Northwest China Based on MEA-BPNN[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2018,49(8):228-236,,307.

復(fù)制
分享
文章指標(biāo)
  • 點擊次數(shù):
  • 下載次數(shù):
  • HTML閱讀次數(shù):
  • 引用次數(shù):
歷史
  • 收稿日期:2018-03-09
  • 最后修改日期:
  • 錄用日期:
  • 在線發(fā)布日期: 2018-08-10
  • 出版日期:
文章二維碼