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不同空間分辨率驅(qū)動(dòng)數(shù)據(jù)對(duì)作物模型區(qū)域模擬影響研究
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國(guó)家自然科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目(41705095)


Influence of Different Resolutions Data on Regional Simulation of Crop Model
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    摘要:

    為了探究不同空間分辨率驅(qū)動(dòng)數(shù)據(jù)對(duì)作物模型區(qū)域模擬結(jié)果的影響,,以中國(guó)北方冬麥區(qū)為研究區(qū)域,采用薄盤樣條插值方法生成4種空間分辨率(5、10,、25,、50km)的氣象驅(qū)動(dòng)數(shù)據(jù),,采用空間聚集方法構(gòu)建相應(yīng)空間分辨率的土壤參數(shù)集,,以農(nóng)業(yè)氣象觀測(cè)站數(shù)據(jù)為基礎(chǔ),,通過(guò)泰森多邊形方法擴(kuò)展農(nóng)田管理和作物模型品種參數(shù),,在以上基礎(chǔ)上建立不同空間分辨率的WOFOST模擬平臺(tái),,結(jié)合區(qū)域統(tǒng)計(jì)產(chǎn)量數(shù)據(jù),診斷不同空間分辨率驅(qū)動(dòng)數(shù)據(jù)對(duì)作物模型區(qū)域模擬的影響,。研究表明:對(duì)于模擬的開(kāi)花期,、成熟期、潛在產(chǎn)量水平的地上生物量和穗質(zhì)量,、雨養(yǎng)產(chǎn)量水平的地上生物量和穗質(zhì)量,,4種空間分辨率的區(qū)域平均值模擬結(jié)果之間無(wú)顯著差異;高分辨率驅(qū)動(dòng)數(shù)據(jù)下,,模擬結(jié)果分布上有更多的極值,。不同空間分辨率的模擬結(jié)果均能反映冬小麥生長(zhǎng)的空間分布規(guī)律;與同區(qū)域統(tǒng)計(jì)產(chǎn)量相比,不同空間分辨率下WOFOST雨養(yǎng)產(chǎn)量可以解釋觀測(cè)產(chǎn)量年際變異的75.4%~85.4%,。不同空間分辨率的潛在產(chǎn)量和雨養(yǎng)產(chǎn)量與氣候因子相關(guān)分析表明,,生育期輻射可以解釋16.6%~29.6%的潛在產(chǎn)量變化,生育期降水可以解釋13.3%~17.8%的雨養(yǎng)產(chǎn)量變化,。高空間分辨率的數(shù)據(jù)存貯量和計(jì)算時(shí)間分別是低空間分辨率的80和100倍以上,。研究結(jié)果可以為作物模型區(qū)域應(yīng)用,尤其是空間分辨率的選擇提供理論依據(jù),。

    Abstract:

    Crop model is constructed on the field scale. There are simulated errors due to the up-scaling when it is applied from filed scale to larger scale. Regional applications of crop model are becoming universal methodologies to explore the interactions between crop, climate and management in agriculture systems to provide policy and decision making for food production. A spatial resolution should be determined before using crop model to simulate yield in the regional scale. There is a dilemma in considering the spatial resolution. A high spatial resolution simulation needs more hardware resource and expensive computing cost while a coarse resolution simulation would result in loss of spatial detail of variability. Therefore, exploring the uncertainties of regional simulation of crop model due to different spatial resolutions is essential to application of crop model in large scale. A WOFOST regional simulation platform was constructed at different spatial resolutions to quantify the simulation errors by spatial resolution of model force data. Five spatial resolution meteorological data (5km, 10km, 25km and 50km) were interpolated by the thin plate smoothing spline method which was provided by the software ANUSPLIN. The corresponding resolution soil parameters were extracted from a fine resolution soil database by spatial aggregation. Spatial management and crop cultivar parameters were calculated from observed agro-meteorological sites and then extended to different resolutions by Thiessen polygon method. The simulated yields were compared at different resolutions and statistical yields, and it was found that the average value of anthesis, maturity date, total above ground production and yield at potential yield level and water limited level did not have significant difference. However, there were more extreme values in the high resolution. Each simulation of four resolutions can perform the spatial distribution of crop development. Compared with the regional statistical yields, simulated water limited yield at different resolutions contributed to the variation of statistical yields by 75.4%~85.4%. The correlation analysis between potential yield and water-limited yield and climate factor indicated that the irradiation in the growing stage contributed to 16.6%~29.6% of variability of potential yield, the precipitation in the growing stage contributed to 13.3%~17.8% of variability of water-limited yield. The data storage capacity and computing cost at high resolution, i.e. 5km was a hundred times more than coarse resolution, i.e. 50km. The results provided theoretical and scientific basis for regional application, especially for selecting suitable spatial resolution for regional simulation.

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何亮,侯英雨,于強(qiáng),靳寧.不同空間分辨率驅(qū)動(dòng)數(shù)據(jù)對(duì)作物模型區(qū)域模擬影響研究[J].農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械學(xué)報(bào),2018,49(2):241-251. HE Liang, HOU Yingyu, YU Qiang, JIN Ning. Influence of Different Resolutions Data on Regional Simulation of Crop Model[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2018,49(2):241-251.

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  • 收稿日期:2017-11-24
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  • 在線發(fā)布日期: 2018-02-10
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