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基于SPI和SPEI陜北黃土區(qū)土壤水分對氣候特征的響應(yīng)
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“十二五”國家科技支撐計劃項目(2015BAD07B02)


Response of Soil Moisture on Climate Characteristics Based on SPI and SPEI in Loess Region of Northern Shaanxi
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    摘要:

    通過計算標(biāo)準(zhǔn)化降水指數(shù)和標(biāo)準(zhǔn)化降水蒸散指數(shù)且借助Mann-Kendall檢驗(yàn)分析陜北吳起縣1957—2014年的降水和氣溫,,并與研究區(qū)土壤含水率進(jìn)行回歸分析,,旨在明確陜北吳起縣氣候特征及其與土壤含水率的關(guān)系。結(jié)果表明:① 1957—2014年吳起縣降水年際差異明顯且季節(jié)變化趨勢不同,,平均以11.17mm/(10a)的幅度減少,;四季氣溫均顯著或極顯著升高,,年均氣溫以0.01℃/(10a)的幅度升高。降水和氣溫的變化均具突變現(xiàn)象,,突變開始年份分別為1972年前后及1991年,。②兩指數(shù)均能較準(zhǔn)確反映陜北吳起縣氣候特征,1957—2014年間吳起縣干濕年交替出現(xiàn),,主要濕潤期出現(xiàn)在20世紀(jì)60年代,。干旱年和濕潤年的年份相當(dāng),均遠(yuǎn)少于正常年份,,但吳起縣仍處于變干旱的趨勢中,,且干旱程度加重,。③研究區(qū)6—10月份各坡向坡面0~1m深度土壤含水率與月尺度的兩指數(shù)均有很高的相關(guān)性,存在二次函數(shù)關(guān)系,。

    Abstract:

    In order to exactly figure out the climate characteristics and its relationship with soil water content, precipitation and air temperature characteristics were analyzed by using the standardized precipitation index (SPI) and the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) as well as Mann-Kendall tests based on precipitation and air temperature data from Wuqi synoptic station over the period of 1957—2014, and regression analysis of soil water content was also performed. The results showed that: (1) an obvious difference was existed among annual precipitations, and the seasonal precipitation series had different trends. On the whole, precipitation displayed a decreasing trend with value of 11.17mm/(10a). Compared with precipitation, significantly increasing trend of air temperature was detected at seasonal scale with a rate of 0.01℃/(10a). Significantly changing trends existed in the series of precipitation and air temperature, and the crossing points were 1972 and 1991, respectively. (2) Both SPI and SPEI can accurately reflect the climate characteristics of the study area. In general, wet year alternated with dry year during the period of 1957—2014. The main rainy period was estimated to appear in the 1960s. The occurred chances for wet years and dry years were almost the same, but both of them were far less than normal years. Wuqi county initially exhibited a warming and drying trend, which would be even more serious in future. (3) The relationship between soil water content in 0~1m soil depth on the slopes of different directions and one month scale SPI/SPEI could be stated with a quadratic function which had high fitting accuracy. SPI-1/SPEI-1 must achieve a certain degree then showed positive correlation with soil water content, and different slopes had different required levels. This research showed that both SPI and SPEI were suitable for application in loess region of northern Shaanxi because of the similar analysis results. This method can be applied to other different parts of the climate change research, especially in arid and semi-arid region;the results can provide reference for climate change in loess region of northern Shaanxi, and provide theoretical basis for promoting vegetation restoration artificially.

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趙興凱,李增堯,朱清科.基于SPI和SPEI陜北黃土區(qū)土壤水分對氣候特征的響應(yīng)[J].農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械學(xué)報,2016,47(8):155-163. Zhao Xingkai, Li Zengyao, Zhu Qingke. Response of Soil Moisture on Climate Characteristics Based on SPI and SPEI in Loess Region of Northern Shaanxi[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2016,47(8):155-163.

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  • 收稿日期:2016-02-19
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  • 在線發(fā)布日期: 2016-08-10
  • 出版日期: 2016-08-10
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