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乏信息動(dòng)態(tài)測(cè)量誤差灰自助預(yù)報(bào)
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國(guó)家自然科學(xué)基金資助項(xiàng)目 (10974115)


Error Predicting for Dynamic Measurement of Poor Information Based on Grey Bootstrap Method
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    摘要:

    綜合灰色系統(tǒng)理論和自助法的理論知識(shí),提出一種實(shí)現(xiàn)乏信息測(cè)量誤差預(yù)報(bào)方法,。首先對(duì)動(dòng)態(tài)測(cè)量數(shù)據(jù)中各誤差源影響進(jìn)行標(biāo)定,,計(jì)算各誤差源對(duì)測(cè)量結(jié)果的誤差傳遞系數(shù),,并對(duì)各誤差源數(shù)據(jù)序列進(jìn)行自助法抽樣,,通過(guò)灰自助融合建模獲得誤差源標(biāo)定預(yù)測(cè)值,;然后按照誤差合成的方法實(shí)現(xiàn)動(dòng)態(tài)測(cè)量誤差的灰自助預(yù)報(bào),;具體實(shí)例表明,,該方法得到的預(yù)報(bào)結(jié)果與實(shí)驗(yàn)測(cè)量結(jié)果非常吻合,,驗(yàn)證了灰自助預(yù)報(bào)方法的有效性,。

    Abstract:

    Different from traditional methods, a novel poor information measurement error prediction method based on grey system theory and bootstrap theory was presented. At first, all calibrated measurement error sources were calibrated, and all measurement error transfer coefficients were calculated, and the calibration data of all error sources were sampled based on bootstrap theory, and predictions of calibration data of all error sources were gained by a grey bootstrap fusion model. Then the error prediction values for dynamic measurement of poor information were got in terms of error combination principle. At last, in an example of a general dynamic measurement, the predicting measurement errors were acquired by this novel proposed method and the actual measurement errors were shown to be in a good agreement with each other, and the validity of the proposed method was also represented.

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葛樂(lè)矣,趙偉,徐子帆,黃松嶺,王中宇.乏信息動(dòng)態(tài)測(cè)量誤差灰自助預(yù)報(bào)[J].農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械學(xué)報(bào),2011,42(7):210-214,219. Ge Leyi, Zhao Wei, Xu Zifan,Huang Songling, Wang Zhongyu. Error Predicting for Dynamic Measurement of Poor Information Based on Grey Bootstrap Method[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2011,42(7):210-214,219.

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